Seasonal forecast and pasture growth – Mitchell Grass Downs (2018-19)

The Bureau of Meteorology recently released (13/12/18) it’s seasonal forecast for December 2018 to February 2019 and the likely impact on pasture production in western Queensland.

In these presentations,  Peter Whip (University of Southern Queensland) and David Phelps (Department of Agriculture and Fisheries – Longreach) discuss the Bureau of Meteorology’s 2018-19 seasonal forecast and its potential impacts on western Queensland’s Mitchell Grass Downs region.

Seasonal forecast and pasture growth (part 1) – Peter Whip

Download a copy of Peter’s presentation slides – Seasonal forecast and pasture growth (Part 1) (0.8 MB)

Or, you can watch the full recording or use playlist to jump to the start of a particular section within the presentation. 16:06 published 17 December 2018 by FutureBeefAu.

Full recording (16:06)

Playlist

  1. Seasonal forecast and pasture growth – Mitchell Grass Downs
  2. BOM chance of exceeding median rainfall (Dec 2018 – Feb 2019)
  3. BOM chance of exceeding median rainfall (Dec 2018)
  4. BOM chance of exceeding median rainfall (Jan 2019)
  5. BOM chance of exceeding median temperature (Dec 2018 – Feb 2019)
  6. What’s happening with El Nino?

Seasonal forecast and pasture growth (part 2) – David Phelps

Download a copy of David’s presentation slides – Seasonal forecast and pasture growth (Part 2) (2.6 MB)

Or, you can watch the full recording or use the playlist to jump to the start of a particular section within the presentation. 32:51 published 17 December 2018 by FutureBeefAu.

Full recording (32:51)

Playlist

  1. Seasonal forecast and Pasture growth- Mitchell Grass Downs (2018 – 2019)
  2. What will be covered…
  3. What is assumed…
  4. What is not covered…
  5. Up-front summary
  6. Pasture growth
  7. Overview of current situation (2018-19)
  8. Pasture situation – end of October 2018
  9. November growth (2018)
  10. Isolated areas of 100mm rain
  11. Early December 2018 storms (a little extra)
  12. Soil moisture levels
  13. TC Owen storms (December 2018)
  14. Potential pasture growth
  15. Pasture growth outlook
  16. ‘Usual’ pasture growth
  17. ‘Average’ growth
  18. Pasture management guidelines
  19. Decisions now…
  20. Decisions now…for 1,000 kg/ha or more
  21. Decisions now…if it’s in poor land condition
  22. Decisions now…for 500 kg/ha or less
  23. Grazing guidelines
  24. The four phases of pasture growth
  25. Grazing guidelines continued
  26. Grazing guidelines for isolated areas of 100mm rain
  27. Cattle and sheep grazing behaviour
  28. Grazing guidelines for current conditions (2018-19)
  29. What is ‘light grazing’?
  30. Making up for drought damage
  31. Seedlings – how to handle them
  32. Lessons from history
  33. Wrap up: anticipate 200 – 400 kg/ha
  34. Outlooks are a guide only…
  35. On-line resources